Banking status
- 1970 PSB frontrunner in mobilizing growth
- Mobilize & pool saving
- Monitor & influence firm to use resource efficiently
- Help mitigate risk associated with firm etc
- Facilitate transaction in eco
Issues
- Poor asset quality
- Bank governance
- Lack of monetary policy transmission
- Bank consolidation vs diversification (niche)
Asset quality/ NPA problem
- Ecosurv19-20 - performance of PSB & other improved
- GNPA - schedule commercial bank reduced - 10.1%
- Capital to risk-weighted asset ratio - Increased to 14%
- GNPA of NBFC - Increased to 6.5%
- Stressed asset = NPA + written off asset + Restructured loan
- Restructured loan = longer duration of repayment, lowering interest rate, conversion to equity
- Written off - not counted as dues, recovery effort at branch level, clean up balance sheet
- NPA - loan/advance for which principle/interest payment remain overdue for period >90 days
- Agri NPA - short duration crop (2 crop season), long-duration crop (interest not paid for 1 crop season)
- Substandard A- Remain NPA <= 12 months
- Doubtful A - remain substandard <= 12 month
- Lost asset -considered uncollectable , x value
Causes
- Borrower side - wilful default, econ slowdown, reduction in demand, fund diversion, global turmoil, volatility in raw material, shortage of power, fugitive borrower
- Bankside - an absence of regular industrial visit, poor credit appraisal sys, bad lending practice - loan to bad credit history
- Other - Ineffective recovery tribunal, natural calamities, govt policy fluctuation, admin hurdles, delayed clearances
4 R strategy
- Recognize
- NPA transparently
- Asset Quality Review & joint lender's forum
- Legal entity identifier from borrower to ……
- Standing com finance make public 30 wilful defaulter
- Resolving & recovering
- IBC - corporate insolvency resolution process
- Banking Regulation Act, 1949 to empower RBI
- Amendment in SARFAESI act
- Pro Sashakt ? - resolve NPA by market-led approach
- Recapitalizing
- GOI recap of PSB - 2.11 lakh crore
- Deposit with banking sys - Increase aggregate deposit
- Implementation of BASEL III
- Reform
- Mission Indra Dhanush - comprehensive framework to transform PSB
- Fugitive Eco offender Act,2018, 11 PSB under PCA
- Consolidation, PSB created stressed asset management verticals
- Alignment of regulatory & supervisory framework of NBFC with SCBS
- Implication of 4R -
- Increased profitability & liquidity, credit offtake,
- Faster MP transmission,
- Credit to MSME, middle class, etc,
- Cost of capital decreased,
- Business financial viable, sustainable,
- Capital intensive growth, employment
- WF -
- better process of project evaluation - expert
- managing risk - like cyber risk
- compliance not adequate,
- strengthen recovery process,
- timely infusion of capital,
- strengthen the corporate bond market (Khan com)
IBC Insolvency & bankruptcy Code
- NCLT, DRT, CoC
- IB board of India- regulated IUs, IPs, IPAs
- SC - intelligible difference (FC imp than OC)
- EODB ranking
Success
• Resolution time - 4.3 y (wb) to 270 d (180 + 90)
• 1300 case in NCLT, 4500 case disposed pre-admin stage, Revival= Liquidation (270)
• RBI - 12 large acc - Bhushan steel
• Operational creditor empowered, Real estate buyer - financial creditor,
• Sec29a - wilful defaulter, promoter prohibited in the resolution process
• Essar Steel case
Challenge
• Cross border I& B - x UNICITRAL - model law on I&B
• Infra , Incereased litigation , biased against liquidation (>270 )
• Substantive issue being sorted out - sec29a (small exempted )
• ED attachment - complicate land holding
NFRA
- Failure of ICAI spot corporate frauds
- Companies Act, 2013 provided for NFRA
- Oversee audit of bank, insurers, electricity firm, >500cr paid up
- Refer erring auditor to quality review board CA act
- Ind eligible - Int Forum for independent Audit regulator IFIAR - share know, BP, audit quality
- Corporate gov, ICAI focus on Edu & training
Insider training
- TK Vishwanathan com put by SEBI
- Buying /selling of security by a person on non-public info
- Better position to make a bigger gain
- Unfair to other investors, illegal in order to maintain trust & confidence
- SEBI(Insider training) Regulation, 1992
- Companies Act, 2013
SEBI mech to counter IT
- Responsibility of promoter if they possess unpublished price sensitive info (UPSI) w/o legitimate purpose
- Defining insider , legitimate purpose
- Digital database - name of person with whom info shared
Issues
- Lack of manpower(Kotak com corporate governance)
- Evolving tech
- Lax implementation
CRA
- SEBI tightened disclosure norms after NBFC failure
- probability of default
- disclose liquidity position
- check asset - liability mismatch
- public historic avg rating transition rate
- Imp (ICRA, CARE, CRISIL- resindex) -
- retail & inst investor rely on info
- overall idea of strength & stability of org
- trust btn investor & govt (sovereign rating)
- Strengthen secondary market
- Increases borrowing
- Issues
- Conflict of intrest -issuer pay model
- non-rating services - risk consulting , fund research ,
- oligo plastic - x completion ,
- high barriers of entry for new CRA
- Poor rating qualities - on limited info
- Lack of independence of rating committee
- Solutions
- Subscriber pay model
- High technology predictive modelling
- Cursory disclosure of all rating by cra , discourage rating shopping
- Legal protection to CRA - sued by companies
- Mandatory rotation of CRA
Fugitive Eco offender Act
Mutual Funds
- Franklin Tempton - closure of Credit risk fund
- invested in high-risk companies, less than AA rating
- Mostly SMEs, operation hurt due to lockdown
- Loss of confidence among investor rush to withdraw funds
- RBI action
- meeting liquidity need through Banks
NBFC
- NBFC registered under Companies act, 1956, engage in business of loan advances acquisition of share/stocks/bonds/securities or other marketable security like chit fund & insurance, x agri, industrial, sale & purchase of good act
- SYS imp NBFC -ILFS, RECI, PFCL
- Can’t accept demand deposit
- No CRR, lower SLR (15%),
- x cheque issuing
- X part of payment & settlement sys
- Deposit insurance facility not available
- RBI allowed partial credit enhancement (PCE) to bonds issued by systemically imp non deposit taking NBFC & Housing finance corp
- Credit enhancement - improving credit rating of corporate bond by assurance of repayment by another entity
- To ensure confidence return in market
- Issues
- Multiple regulatory Auth (RBI, NHB, SEBI, IRDAI)
- Difficulty in access to credit - liquidity crunch
- Asset - liability mismatch (borrow for 3-5 y & lend for long tenure - 10 -15 y)
- Investor (MF mostly ) reluctant post ILFS crisis
- Riskier lending - x cautious, increasing unsecured small, micro loan
- Proj stall - statutory approval , land acquisition, enviro clearance
- Step taken
- Relaxation of liquidity coverage ratio by 2% - bank can now lend as deposit base free
- OMO - rbi buying govt Bond - to Increase liquidity
- Relaxing asset securitization Norms - can sell /securitize loan .5y maturity after 6 month
- WF-Timely project clearance - plug & play
- FSLRC -> common body to monitor risk across sector
ILFS
- ILFS crisis -conglomerate fund infra project National & Int, Systematically imp non-deposit core investment company, major grp like LIC, HDFC, SBI have stakes,
- 1.15 lakh crore assets
- defaulted on loan payment
- Borrowing mismanaged
- Rapid debt build-up
- very high leverage,
- Financial mismanagement,
- -ve cash flow,
- Despite crisis, high dividend paid
- MCA, SFIO probe on, management change
- RBI - encourage securitization of asset held by NBFC
- Revisit lending restriction under pCA
- Special window for MF to get refinance against collateral - coordinate & consultive approach
- Imp
- Financial inclusion deeper reach in rural - NABARD ,
- Investment in cap market - 16 %
- Infra financing
- Credit provider when bank credit slows
Bank consolidation
- Merged 10 bank into 4 large banks
- Ind 3rd largest bank - Bank of Baroda + vijaya bank + Dena bank (amalgamated - combination- new ent
- 2017 - SBI + 5 associate bank + bhartiya mahila bank (merger - 1 company acquire other)
- Narashimham com -1992 - 3 tier restructuring
- 3-4 large bank (global presence), 8-10 N level ,
- PJ Nayak - privatize or merge , BBB
- Setback to corporate governance Principles
- Why
- Too many PSB - 21 cannibalise each other business
- strong bank absorbing weaker Bank NPA
- Increases business, customer base, market reach , services
- Global bank - ind bank smaller than global peers
- Reduce ops cost, redundancies & duplication,
- Enhance geographical reach - Vijaya Bank (south), Bank of Badodra west
- Create capital & liquidity (meet BASEL III norms)
- Employee welfare, disparity of wages reduce
- HR - expertise, efficiencies
Credit creation
- Commercial bank by advancing loans & purchasing securities
- Factor limiting
- Amount of cash in form of public deposit
- CRR
- banking habits
- Business condition - depression phase etc,
- leakages in credit creation - outflow of money
- sound securities
- excess reserves,
- behaviour of other bank
- eco climate
- liquidity preference
Credit control
- Quantitative control -
- Repo rate
- CRR - cash Reserve ratios
- SLR
- OPO / OMO ?
- Bank rate - discontinued
- • Qualitative control
- Margin requirement
- Consumer credit regulation - down payment ,
- RBI guideline - oral , written , appeals , warning
- Moral suasion
- PSL
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